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Rapaport TradeWire Apr. 23, 2010

Cutters concerned that DTC may hike rough prices at next week's sight resulting in even higher prices to smaller cutters who buy rough from sightholders.
Apr 22, 2010 6:00 PM   By Rapaport
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Rapaport TradeWire
RAPAPORT NEWS SERVICE | APRIL 23, 2010   www.rapaport.com | news@rapaport.com
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RapUp April 23, 2010

Polished trading stable. Cutters concerned that DTC may hike rough prices at next week's sight resulting in even higher prices to smaller cutters who buy rough from sightholders. Diamdel reports strong 1Q auction demand for rough with intense competition for 2ct+ sizes and increased buying from Israel. De Beers 1Q production at 7m cts. vs. 1m cts. previous year, and BHP Billiton 1Q production -19% to 770,000 cts. ALROSA 1Q rough sales at $1b. Sotheby’s sells $39.6m at NY jewelry auctions (Magnificent Jewels sells 83.7% by lot) with 7.67ct fancy intense pinkish orange, IF, diamond ring selling for $405k/ct. India’s March polished diamond exports +62% to $1.8b, rough imports +178% to $877m. Belgium’s March polished exports +57% to $1.12b, rough exports +130% to $1b.

RapNet Data: April 23, 2010
Diamonds 632,347
Value $4,037,159,910
Carats 716,707
Average Discount -31.94%
RapNet Asking Price

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  From a market’s perspective, [Diamdel] witnessed broad based participation from all customer groups and across all markets during this first series of [rough diamond] auctions in 2010, with a notable strengthening in the competitiveness of bids placed by customers in Israel compared to 2009.

Neil Ventura | Diamdel managing director

De Beers Production Jumps

De Beers production increased sixfold during the first quarter of 2010 as the company ramped up its output due to the improved market demand for rough. The company mined 7.012 million carats during the first three months of 2010, up from only 1.082 million one year ago. Production was still far less than the 11.774 million carats that De Beers mined in the first quarter of 2008. 

Rapaport News estimates that De Beers sold around $1.5 billion worth of rough in the first three months of 2010, compared with the $529 million reported by the company for the comparative period of 2009. The first sight in the new 10-sight cycle begins next week in London.

Diamdel Observes Strong Demand

Diamdel sold all 138 of the rough diamond lots that it presented during its online, first-quarter auctions, observing a significant increase in the number of buyers from Israel. The auctions spanned the range of 0.75-carat to 1- to- 2 carat and 2- to 15-carat sizes, with competition being the strongest for the 2-carat stones. Roughly 75 percent of the winning bids were placed by small- to medium-sized, specialist manufacturers in Israel, Antwerp, India and the Far East.

In addition, the demand for 2-carat-plus sizes increased during March. Recent customer feedback has led Diamdel to conclude that sourcing the right rough in the right quantities remains challenging.

ALROSA Sells $1B of Rough in 1Q10

ALROSA sold $1 billion worth of rough diamonds to the market in the first quarter of 2010, which beat its previous sale estimates. First-quarter sales amounted to just under half its total sales for the full year of 2009. The Russian miner noted that selling goods to the state repository, Gokhran, one year ago, as well as disposing of noncore assets, helped it “sidestep the irreversible effects of the crisis and end 2009 with a net profit.”

Russia's diamond production dropped by 6.6 percent in the first quarter of 2010, according to the federal state statistics service, but the government did not provide the related carat amounts. ALROSA accounted for around 97 percent of the country's output and previously stated that its production for the period totaled 8.6 million carats, down from 9.2 million carats one year ago. ALROSA plans to produce 33.54 million carats this year, an increase of 2.3 percent from 2009.

Rapaport Weekly Broadcast

Sotheby's Magnificent Jewels sale, which was held on April 20 in New York, generated $34,662,338, sold 84 percent by lot and featured a number of rare diamonds. which you can view in this video. Highlights from the sale include a fancy vivid yellow necklace of 100.17 total carat weight that sold for $3,554,500; a beautiful, 7.67-carat, fancy intense pinkish orange diamond ring that sold for $3,106,500, a panther-themed wristwatch, an 8.66-carat ruby and more. Preview the centerpieces from Christie's Jewels: The New York Sale held on April 22 -- the Catherine the Great emerald brooch and the Emperor Maximilian diamond ring -- and be sure to check diamonds.net on April 23 for the results of this auction.

U.S. Chain-Store Sales +5%

Weekly U.S. chain-store sales improved by 4.6 percent on a year to year basis, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs. On a week-to-week basis, though, chain-store sales remained flat. 

Michael Niemira, ICSC's director of research and chief economist, said that the April "echo" will depress store sales somewhat and that ICSC expects chain-store sales to be flat or to decrease by as much as 3 percent.

Wealthy U.S. Shoppers Pick Graff

The Luxury Institute surveyed high-net-worth consumers in the U.S. for its 2010 Luxury Brand Status Index (LBSI) and found that they picked Graff as the best jeweler. Shoppers selected Asprey as the second-best jeweler, while Buccellati achieved third place in the survey. High-net-worth consumers were defined in the survey as those with weighted average household incomes of $845,000 and average investable assets of $16.6 million.

“As the luxury jewelry industry makes its comeback, wealthy consumers are looking for truly differentiated value,” said Milton Pedraza, chief executive of the Luxury Institute. “While quality and uniqueness are critical dimensions in jewelry, in today’s world, the relationship with the client is the major differentiator. Clienteling has become the priority in luxury jewelry. Top brands are now investing in clienteling best-practices training as part of creating true luxury customer relationship management (CRM) cultures.”

Zale Favors Golden Gate Funding

Insiders at Zale have kept the lines of communication open with the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg News as the retailer continues to seek up to $150 million in new capital. The most recent leak from these insiders indicated that the Zale board was favoring a bid from Golden Gate Capital Corporation. The sources did not reveal the percentage of the stake that is currently under negotiation, but if this information is accurate, the deal with Golden Gate Capital will leave funding proposals from both Centerbridge Capital and TPG in the dust.

Hearts on Fire Promo Targets Facebook Fans

The Hearts on Fire brand launched "The Perfect Moment" contest on Facebook to engage its social network followers. Any Facebook user can enter by posting the photograph that best captures one of life’s perfect moments. Users can share their entries and vote for their favorite photographs until June 20, 2010. The winning entry will receive Hearts on Fire diamond jewelry with a retail value of up to $10,000, according to the diamond jewelry firm.

Mayors by Birks Store Opens in Palm Beach

Jewelry retailer Mayors opened its first-ever Mayors by Birks store in Palm Beach, Florida. Mayors by Birks represents a new concept for parent company Birks & Mayors, offering luxury jewelry and timepieces from the Birks brand line. In addition, Mayors by Birks carries the Birks bridal collection, including the proprietary Amorique diamond, a cushion-shaped, fancy-cut diamond, and the Birks Living collection, which is comprised of artful pieces. Rolex timepieces will also play a prominent role at the Mayors store, along with jewelry from the Damiani and Roberto Coin brands.  

Birks to Offer Ontario's First Polished Goods

Birks' flagship store in Toronto will offer Ontario Canada's first 100 certified diamonds from De Beers Victor mine for sale on April 26, 2010. The diamonds are extremely high in quality, with a retail value that is 10 percent to 15 percent higher than that of other diamonds, according to Birks.

Mining minister Michael Gravelle told shoppers that their purchases would support Ontario's diamond industry, which is one of the few that can take diamonds from mine to market within a single province.

Bain & Co. Predicts Luxury Sales Will Rise 4%

The sale of luxury goods fell by 8 percent in 2009, but expect a rebound of 4 percent in 2010, as wealthy consumers quietly head back to the world's top brand boutiques, says Bain & Co. The firm's research signals that luxury good sales in the first half of 2010 are already rising in the high-single digits, with the top brands benefiting the most. The sector's global recovery began in the second half of 2009, so sales during the second half of this year will be closer to flat. Apparel, watch and jewelry sales could rise as much as 4 percent this year, says Bain & Co.

For the full year, China could experience a 15 percent increase in luxury goods sales, while Asia as a whole could see a 10 percent jump. Japan's sales, though, are forecast to contract 3 percent, U.S. sales are predicted to rise 4 percent and in Europe, luxury sales could gain by 3 percent, according to the firm.

Because top luxury brands are now flush with shareholder cash, creating fertile conditions for market concentration, Bain & Co. also predicts that  2010 will be a year when the search for capital triggers mergers and acquisitions and initial public offerings, as well as continued challenging conditions for cash-strapped brands that face the risk of failure and bankruptcy.

Consumer Sentiment Remains Grim

U.S. consumer sentiment remained "persistently grim" due to a poor outlook for income and jobs, based upon the results of the private monthly survey conducted by Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan.  U.S. consumers do think the economy will improve, but they still hold quite negative views on their own incomes and job prospects, according to the survey's authors. The overall consumer sentiment index dropped to 69.5 points early this month, which was a  the lowest reading in five months. Consumer expectations fell to 62.3 points in early April, the lowest level since March 2009.

Another survey, conducted by the Gallup organization, found that only 11 percent of consumers rated economic conditions as "excellent" or "good," whereas 45 percent rated conditions as "only fair" or "poor." These figures were based upon Gallup's three-day rolling average and, for the most part, have held steady since April 2009.

The ABC News Consumer Comfort Index, which is measured every other week, registered negative 47 points on April 11. This measure has not varied much in the past two years, with the best reading being negative 40 points on April 20, 2008, and the worst reading being the negative 54 points recorded for December 2008 and again in January 2009.

Iceland Warns of Ongoing Air Travel Risk

Most of  Europe's airports have come back to life following a week of closures due to the volcanic eruption of Iceland's Eyjafjallajoekull. But it could take weeks for air travel and air shipping backlogs to return to their normal levels and worse yet, Iceland's scientists have warned that the volcano threat will linger for months. The country's government, meanwhile, is monitoring a larger volcano, Katla, which has a history of eruption, in tandem with Eyjafjallajoekull.

Iceland's president told Europe to immediately prepare for the "worst-case scenario" and create alternative ways to transport people and goods on the ground in the event of new eruptions. Business travelers in Europe -- namely, those who were not stranded in airports -- did find workarounds this week in order to communicate with their customers by using online tools such as Skype.

But since transporting diamonds is completely dependent upon airspace, India's importation of rough diamonds from Antwerp and London did take a hit. Exports of polished goods and jewelry back to Europe and the U.S. will become less reliable, as well, if the airspace continues to experience disruptions.

CIBJO Program Promotes Social Responsibility

The CIBJO's education foundation opened registration for its first corporate social responsibility (CSR) program, which will take place in Antwerp from June 19 to June 22, 2010. The program will be hosted by HRD Antwerp. This course is designed to elevate the role played by industry firms so that through their own business practices, they become actively involved in the fulfillment of the United Nation's (UN) Millennium Development Goals, which were based upon a blueprint intended to tackle the world's most pressing development challenges.
CIBJO's president, Gaetano Cavalieri, said, "This is proactive CSR and I propose that it should set us apart from other luxury product industries. CSR should be recognized as an integral part of our industry's DNA. It should define us as a community and be a characteristic by which consumers recognize us." 

India Mar. Diamond Imports & Exports

  Mar. '10   YTD '10  
  $Mil Chng. $Mil Chng.
Polished Exports $1,800 62% $4,880 74%
Polished Imports $1,120 30% $2,950 84%
Net Exports $678 175% $1,930 60%
Rough Imports $877 178% $2,740 271%
Rough Exports $77 33% $198 20%
Net Imports $800 210% $2,540 342%
Net Diamond Acct. ($121)   ($610)  

Belgium Mar. Diamond Imports & Exports

  Mar. '10   YTD '10  
  $Mil Chng. $Mil Chng.
Polished Exports $1,120 57% $2,640 30%
Polished Imports $1,140 59% $2,540 32%
Net Exports ($20)   $101 -8%
Rough Imports $854 91% $2,400 103%
Rough Exports $1,000 130% $2,730 151%
Net Imports ($156)   ($331)  
Net Diamond Acct. $136   $432  

BHP Billiton's Production -19%

BHP Billiton's diamond production fell by 19 percent to 770,000 carats during its third fiscal quarter that ended on March 31, 2010. The company's output declined due to lower average grade recoveries at Ekati, where the volume of ore processed fell flat at 1.25 million tons. Production for the first nine months of BHP’s fiscal year was flat at 2.31 million carats, while the volume of ore processed at Ekati rose by 10 percent.

Diavik Achieves Safety Milestone

Diavik Diamond Mines achieved the safety milestone of clocking two million hours during a period of 11 months without any employees suffering lost-time injuries. Furthermore, during a 120-day period, Diavik’s workforce surpassed one million hours without any employees logging recordable injuries or requiring medical treatment.
Company president Kim Truter congratulated employees and contractors for this extremely positive health and safety performance. The Diavik Diamond Mine is a joint venture between Rio Tinto and Harry Winston that is located in Canada's Northwest Territories.

DiamondCorp to Resume Lace Mine Development

DiamondCorp resumed development activities at its Lace diamond mine in South Africa, as well as its exploration activities in Botswana. This news follows the firm's securing of $11 million (GBP 7.1 million) in new capital. The deteriorating diamond prices that characterized late 2008 caused the company to cease its tailing retreatment operations at Lace in 2009. The junior explorer will access the potential 13 million carats of resource at Lace by early 2011, building up to potential production of between 400,000 and 500,000 carats per annum.

Vaaldiam Prepares to Reopen Duas Barras

Vaaldiam Mining is preparing to resume diamond production at the Duas Barras mine in Minas Gerais, Brazil by the third quarter. The mine is expected to generate "immediate and self-sustaining cash flow" from the sale of its diamonds and gold. Before rough prices dropped in late 2008, Duas Barras' sales were valued at an average of about $165 per carat. Vaaldiam anticipates that its operating costs will average $85 per carat.

The company's Chapada diamond mine near Cuiaba in Mato Grosso is also being reviewed to determine whether Vaaldiam will resume production there in 2011 or sell the asset. Chapada historically produced larger, high-quality diamonds that achieved average sales values of $490 per carat in July 2008.

Kopane to Resume Production at Liqhobong

Kopane Diamond  is planning to resume production at its Liqhobong mine in Lesotho “as soon as is practical." The junior miner added that it remains “unencumbered by debt and well funded” and that it continues to negotiate a possible takeover bid. 

In October, Kopane reported that Liqhobong had a gross diamond reserve of 29.7 million carats, with an average grade of 33 carats per hundred tons. The company recently raised $14.3 million to enable further work on a definitive feasibility study and an assessment of its strategic investment opportunities.

For the week ending Apr. 22, 2010:

  Apr. 22 Apr. 15 Chng.  
$1 = Euro 0.752 0.737 0.015  
$1 = Rupee 44.62 44.43 0.2  
$1 = Israel Shekel 3.74 3.70 0.04  
$1 = Rand 7.46 7.37 0.09  
$1 = Canadian Dollar 1.00 0.99 0.01  
Precious Metals        
Gold $1,142.00 $1,159.70 -$17.70  
Platinum $1,741.00 $1,719.00 $22.00  
Stock Indexes       Chng.
BSE 17,573.99 17,639.26 -65.27 -0.4%
Dow Jones 11,134.29 11,144.57 -10.28 -0.1%
FTSE 5,665.33 5,825.01 -159.68 -2.7%
Hang Seng 21,454.94 22,157.82 -702.88 -3.2%
S&P 500 1,208.67 1,211.67 -3.00 -0.2%
Yahoo! Jewelry 999.17 1,169.22 -170.05 -14.5%
Birks & Mayors $1.00 $0.98 $0.02 2.0%
Blue Nile $56.51 $58.56 -$2.05 -3.5%
Charles & Colvard $1.65 $1.65 $0.00 0.0%
DGSE Companies $2.58 $2.50 $0.08 3.2%
Fuqi Intl. $11.29 $11.78 -$0.49 -4.2%
JCPenney $31.65 $31.45 $0.20 0.6%
Kohl's $58.57 $57.68 $0.89 1.5%
LJ Intl. $2.74 $2.81 -$0.07 -2.5%
Macy's $24.48 $23.76 $0.72 3.0%
Man Sang $2.19 $2.26 -$0.07 -3.1%
Movado Group $12.94 $13.42 -$0.48 -3.6%
Nordstrom $45.34 $43.46 $1.88 4.3%
Saks $9.55 $9.63 -$0.08 -0.8%
Signet $34.03 $34.10 -$0.07 -0.2%
Sotheby's $38.10 $36.69 $1.41 3.8%
Tiffany $50.91 $50.90 $0.01 0.0%
Walmart $54.49 $54.13 $0.36 0.7%
Zale $3.20 $3.32 -$0.12 -3.6%
Bulgari €6.51 €6.33 €0.18 2.8%
Bijou Brigitte €138.20 €135.20 €3.00 2.2%
Damiani €0.95 €0.95 €0.00 0.0%
LVMH €87.17 €90.52 -€3.35 -3.7%
PPR €109.00 €106.50 €2.50 2.3%
Richemont CHF 39.96 CHF 41.77 -CHF 1.81 -4.3%
Swatch Group CHF 325.50 CHF 331.90 -CHF 6.40 -1.9%
Theo Fennell (pence) 37.00 36.97 0.03 0.1%
INDIA (rupee)        
Classic Diamond 24.60 22.35 2.25 10.1%
Gitanjali Gems 119.05 119.85 -0.80 -0.7%
Goldiam Intl. 48.80 48.80 0.00 0.0%
Rajesh Exports 131.00 123.90 7.10 5.7%
Ren. Jewellery 81.20 78.50 2.70 3.4%
Su-Raj Diamonds 51.05 51.30 -0.25 -0.5%
Titan 2,049.15 1,967.10 82.05 4.2%
Zodiac JRD 40.85 30.00 10.85 36.2%
Suashish Diamonds 229.95 285.10 -55.15 -19.3%
Michael Hill NZD 0.73 NZD 0.73 NZD 0.00 0.0%
Harry Winston CAD 10.09 CAD 10.13 -CAD 0.04 -0.4%
Lucara Diamond CAD 0.99 CAD 1.01 -CAD 0.02 -2.0%
Mountain Province CAD 2.56 CAD 2.12 CAD 0.44 20.8%
Peregrine Diamonds CAD 2.34 CAD 2.27 CAD 0.07 3.1%
Rockwell Diamonds CAD 0.07 CAD 0.07 CAD 0.00 0.0%
Shore Gold CAD 0.93 CAD 0.99 -CAD 0.06 -6.1%
Stornoway Diamond CAD 0.66 CAD 0.66 CAD 0.00 0.0%
True North Gems CAD 0.10 CAD 0.09 CAD 0.01 5.6%
UK (pence)        
African Diamonds 38.50 41.00 -2.5 -6.1%
Anglo American 2,800.00 2,970.00 -170.0 -5.7%
BHP Billiton 2,098.00 2,266.50 -168.5 -7.4%
Firestone Diamonds 38.25 39.00 -0.8 -1.9%
Gem Diamonds 286.00 289.90 -3.9 -1.3%
Gemfields 5.09 5.25 -0.2 -3.0%
Mwana Africa 10.35 10.43 -0.1 -0.8%
Namakwa Diamonds 34.00 35.00 -1.0 -2.9%
Petra Diamonds 80.00 82.75 -2.8 -3.3%
Rio Tinto plc 3,667.00 3,953.00 -286.0 -7.2%
Stellar Diamonds 14.01 14.20 -0.2 -1.3%

Polished and rough trading activity

POLISHED: Some trading activity is seen -- mainly for lower PK goods in the local market.
-1 point: Good demand: +$100 whites.
-2 point: Fair Demand: -$350 whites & $250-$350 OWTTLC
2-7 point: Good demand: +$100 whites.
Fair Demand: $250-$350 OWTTLC
8-18 point: Good demand: +$500 whites.
Fair Demand: -$400 whites
20 points: Fair demand: -$300 & +$600 whites.
25 points: Good demand: -$350 & +$700 whites.
33 points: Good demand: $300 - $500 & +$900 whites.
50 points: Good demand: $500-$700 & +$1000 whites.
75 points: Good demand: +$2000 & $700-$900 whites.
1 carat+: Very good demand: +$1000 whites.
Good demand: -$1000 whites.
-3 point: Fair demand: $200-$250 whites.
+3 point: Fair demand: $250-$300 whites.
+9-18 point: Fair demand: $250-$350 whites.
20 point: Fair demand: $700-$750 whites.
25 point: Fair demand: $800-$850 whites.
50 point: Good demand: $1600-$1,800 whites.
Fair demand: $400-$700 whites.
75 point: Fair demand: $800-$1,200 whites.
1 carat+: Good demand: +$2,500 whites.
Fair demand: $1000-$2000 whites
-6 point: Good demand: $400-$500 whites.
Fair demand: $250-$350 whites.
+7-18 point: Good demand: $600-$700 & +14 pts $800-$850 whites.
Fair demand: $250-$400 whites.
20 point: Fair demand: $250-$400 & $900-$1,000 whites.
25 point: Fair demand: $250-$400 & $1,100-$1,200 whites.
33 point: Fair demand: $250-$400 & $1,300-$1,500 whites.
50 point: Fair demand: $1,600-$1,800 whites.
75 point: Fair demand: $2,600-$2,800 whites.
1 carat+: Good demand: $300-$600 & +$1,000 whites.
Tapers & Baguettes
Good demand: $600-$800 +5mm whites. $250-$325
2mm-2.5mm whites; $350-$400, 2.5mm-3mm whites;
             $400-$450 3mm-4mm, $500-$600 4mm –
             5mm & $175-$250 +2mm-3mm whites.
ROUGH: Activity holding to a minimum due to high asking prices, but some trading is observed for rough goods of +1cts, +I and +VS.
1-5 point: Very Good demand: $80- $120 makeables; $90-$190 crystals.
$40-$70 makeables.
Fair demand: $7-$20 & $45-$90 OW TTLB & TTLC.
6-20 point: Very Good demand: $140-210 crystals; $90-$170 makeables.
Good demand: $60-$110 fancy shapes.
Good demand: $40-$60 clivage.
Fair demand: $50-$90 OW TTLC & TTLB rounds.
21-50 point: Very Good demand: $180-260 makeables; $100-$190 & $210-$280 crystals.
Good demand: $80-$190 fancy shapes;
Good demand: $95-$200 rounds; $45- $85 clivage.
Fair demand $20-$40 OW TTLC & TTLB.
0.51-1.00 carat: Very Good demand: $150-$310 makeables;
$110-$240 & $270-$450 crystals.
Good demand: $70-$110 makeables.
Good demand $90-$200 fancy shapes; $50-$100 clivage.
Fair demand $60-$90 OW TTLC & TTLB.
1.01-2.00 carat: Very Good demand: $220-$570 rounds; $275-$725 crystals.
Good demand: $85-$115 clivage; $180-$360 all fancy shapes.
Fair demand: $140-$180 OW TTLC & TTLB.
2.01-3.00 carat: Very Good demand: $250-$1,000 makeables; $350-$1,300 crystals;
$400-$800 fancy shapes; $210-$300 clivage.
Fair demand: $100-$325 flats & TTLC & TTLB
$350-$800 OW.
5.00 carat+:  Good demand: $1,000+ makeables, crystals & all fancy shapes till L color.
Mixed Lot: Good demand: $2-$40.

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